Yeah, even as someone who works with computers all day I only upgraded my desktop less than a year ago. Sure there are a few nice things that Windows7 does but coming at it from the regular users perspective, unless things stop working that they use frequently there isn't a lot of motivation to upgrade. So unless games stop supporting XP, browsers as a whole move away from it, computers actually start doing something a lot cooler with the latest version or some exploit starts owning all XP installs I can't see a great amount of motivation for the average user.