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What reason do you have for expecting current tariffs to not escalate into broader and more destructive tariffs in this ongoing trade war? Are you basing this on rational choice theory? Because I have some disappointing news for you in that case.


If I were in charge of a country subject to new tariffs, I would consider playing it differently. Rather than applying punitive tariffs back, I would consider trying to get US manufacturers that are affected to the tariffs to move to my country and export finished products to the US. After all, the nonsensical structure of Trump’s tariffs may be more harmful to the US than to anyone else.


The problem with that is timing. Politically, people demand action now - like, this week. Getting a business to move takes months to years.




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